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AfD dominates survey in MV: SPD at historic low!
In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the AfD achieved 38% in polls, while the SPD fell to 19%. State elections in 2026 could significantly change the balance of power.
AfD dominates survey in MV: SPD at historic low!
The political wind is blowing strongly through Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. In a current survey, the AfD achieved a whopping 38% approval and thus remains clearly the strongest force in the state ksta.de reported. The party has more than doubled this figure compared to the last parliamentary election in 2021. In contrast, the SPD has plummeted to 19%, a tangible decline of around half its previous result, and a victory appears to be a long way off.
The SPD emerged victorious in the last election, but the trend now shows growing dissatisfaction among the population. This is also confirmed by the 57% of voters who are dissatisfied with the red-red state government, while 50% are satisfied with the work of Prime Minister Manuela Schwesig, reports ndr.de.
Who benefits from the SPD's weaknesses?
The CDU is stuck with just 13%, recording its worst result in history, and it cannot benefit from the SPD's weakness either. The Left, on the other hand, made slight gains and reached 12%, while the Greens were just above the threshold at 5%. The FDP falls with a significantly below-average result. The political landscape could change with new alliances as the AfD has gained strength in local elections and the last federal election this year.
- AfD: 38%
- SPD: 19%
- CDU: 13%
- Linke: 12%
- Grüne: 5%
- Bundeswehr-Sozialverband (BSW): 7%
- FDP: unter 5%
Political scientist Jochen Müller sheds light on the matter and points out that the AfD's high approval ratings indicate a general skepticism towards the political system. Despite all the discussions about the right-wing extremist classification and possible party bans, the AfD has apparently not deterred its voters. Müller expects changes in voter behavior until the election on September 20, 2026.
Looking to the future
The prospect of forming a government after the upcoming election could be difficult. Since the red-red coalition is expected to be voted out, it remains to be clarified how a majority could come about. Political alliances against the AfD are considered complicated, especially between the CDU and the Left. A majority could only be achieved by a coalition of four of the six parties in the state parliament.
Leif-Erik Holm, the state chairman of the AfD, already has ambitions to challenge Prime Minister Schwesig in the constituency and take over the office himself. While political trends are changing, voter dissatisfaction remains a key factor that is likely to shape the coming election campaign.