AfD in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Incredible increase to 38 percent!

AfD in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania: Incredible increase to 38 percent!

In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania the political signs are clearly in a state of upheaval. A current survey by the opinion research institute Infratest Dimap, which was carried out on behalf of NDR, impressively shows that the AfD is currently in the lead. According to this survey, if elections were held today, the party would win 38 percent of the vote. This means a doubling of the result compared to the 2021 state election, where the AfD was still at 19 percent. A remarkable jump that cannot be overlooked.

The ruling SPD, which triumphed with almost 40 percent in the last election, can hardly maintain its current 19 percent. This represents a halving of their value since the election four years ago. The CDU, which is currently at 13 percent, and the Left, which is settling at 12 percent, also have to dress warmly. Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) has 7 percent, while the Greens only have 5 percent. The FDP is hardly noticed in the current political landscape and does not play a significant role.

One year before the election

The next state election in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania is already around the corner; voters will be called to the polls again on September 20, 2026. Prime Minister Manuela Schwesig, who is fighting for her third term in office, faces a serious challenger. The survey results suggest that the SPD-Left coalition, with only 31 percent of the vote, would have less support than the AfD alone.

The survey was conducted between September 18 and 23, 2025 among 1,151 eligible voters. While such surveys are informative, they are not without their uncertainties. The fluctuation range is 2 percentage points at 10 percent and 3 percentage points at 50 percent, which means that the political mood can still change.

The path of the AfD

At the national level, the AfD is also on the rise. The current poll value for the federal election is 26 percent, while the average value in the federal states is 20 percent. The party has recorded considerable growth, particularly in the new federal states, where it is over 30 percent. In Saxony-Anhalt, surveys even estimate up to 39 percent for the AfD.

Seen in this light, it becomes clear that the political balance of power in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and beyond is currently shaking considerably. The coming months could bring many surprises, and the look ahead to the 2026 state elections remains exciting.

Information about the survey results and current developments can be found in the articles from World and T Online. You can also find further insights into the AfD and its career at DAWUM.