Putin's tank production: How many T-90Ms are really in use?

Putin's tank production: How many T-90Ms are really in use?

A tank production storm is unfolding in Russia as analysts question what all these defense resources are actually needed for. A new study by the Conflict Intelligence Team (CIT) outlines an optimistic perspective on the production rate of the T-90M tanks, which may be higher than previously thought. According to the study, annual production of T-90M tanks could increase to up to 300 units, although analysts view this with skepticism. Michael Gjerstad, a renowned analyst, estimates that fewer than 200 tanks have been produced since the start of the war, while the CIT is betting here that at least 540 to 630 T-90M tanks were produced.

But how many of these tanks actually make it to the front? Over 130 of the T-90M tanks produced have now been destroyed, while an estimated 410 to 500 are in active service. This accounts for about 15 percent of the tanks currently on the front lines. At the beginning of the Ukrainian War, Russia had 65 to 85 T-90M tanks, as well as up to 420 older versions, which makes a total of about 435 to 465 tanks of all modifications.

How realistic is the estimate of production?

While some experts such as Gjerstad and Pavel Luzin doubt Russia's long-term production capability, the CIT remains optimistic and considers the T-90M's production rate to be consistently solid. The discrepancy between the estimates raises the question of whether Russia actually has the capacity not only to keep up in the arms race, but also to score decisive points. The large number of production figures suggests that there is a strategic game going on here, the goal of which remains unclear. What exactly does Russia plan to do with these tank resources?

Amid these uncertainties, however, it is crucial to recognize that such military strategies are always politically motivated. Arms production could serve as a means of demonstrating power or consolidating internal structures while the uncertain situation in Ukraine continues.

A look at the political implications

What does all of this mean for the geopolitical situation? It remains to be seen whether Russia actually has the capacity and strategic intentions to maintain its production levels in the coming years. The current situation could be interpreted both as a warning signal for other powers and as another complicated chapter in the history of the Ukraine conflict.

This brings us full circle: behind the numbers and statistics there is a human component that should not be underestimated. The fates of many people on both sides are affected by these decisions. The next few months will show how this dynamic situation unfolds and what long-term consequences it could have for the region and beyond. There is an old saying: “Hope dies last.” Whether this applies to Russia remains to be seen.